World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Favorites: Who Is Expected to Reach the Semi-Finals?

World Cup 2026 Quarter-Final Favorites: Who Is Expected to Reach the Semi-Finals?

The FIFA World Cup 2026 has reached the quarter-final stage, and the tournament is now entering its most decisive phase. After a dramatic Round of 16, only eight teams remain in the race for the title, and the next matches will define the shape of the semi-finals.

According to current expectations from analysts, bookmakers and prediction models, the main favorites to move forward are England, Argentina, Spain and France. If those forecasts prove correct, the semi-finals would feature two heavyweight clashes: Spain against France and England against Argentina.

However, the quarter-final line-up still leaves room for surprises. Norway, Switzerland, Belgium and Morocco have all shown enough quality to make the favorites uncomfortable.

Norway vs England

England are considered the favorites in their quarter-final against Norway, but this match may be more complicated than it looks on paper. England have reached this stage without producing a completely dominant performance, and their previous matches have shown that they can be vulnerable under pressure.

Norway, meanwhile, have already proved their danger by eliminating Brazil. Their confidence is high, and their attacking threat is obvious. England will also know many of Norway’s key players well, especially those who play in the Premier League.

For England, control and concentration will be essential. For Norway, the key will be to turn momentum and belief into another major upset.

Argentina vs Switzerland

Argentina’s quarter-final against Switzerland is another match with clear favorite status but real risk. The reigning world champions survived a dramatic Round of 16 match against Egypt, coming from two goals down to win 3-2.

That comeback showed Argentina’s character, but it also exposed their vulnerability. Switzerland are a highly organized side, and they are unlikely to give Argentina much space or many easy chances.

This could become one of the most dangerous fixtures for a favorite. Argentina have the experience, individual quality and winning mentality, but Switzerland’s discipline may make the match uncomfortable until the final minutes.

Spain vs Belgium

Spain are expected to have the advantage against Belgium, mainly because of the quality and consistency of their overall play. Their structure, technical level and ability to control matches make them one of the strongest teams left in the tournament.

Belgium, however, should not be dismissed. Their Round of 16 performance against the United States was arguably their best display of the World Cup so far. That result gave them confidence and showed that they can still punish opponents when their attacking players find rhythm.